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Prognose: Pistons vs. Knicks

„Prognose: Pistons vs. Knicks" auf den vier wichtigsten politischen Prognose-Plattformen — Live-Daten, regulatorische Notes, Quellen aus dem Polymarket-Orderbuch.

Paul Reed: Points O/U 4.5 100% Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 1.5 100% Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 1.5 100% Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 1.5 100% Volumen: $2.1M Liquidität: $1.3M Schließt: 28 Oct 2026
Live-Markt öffnen →
Prognose: Pistons vs. Knicks

Plattform-Vergleich

PlattformJA-QuoteNEIN-QuoteGebührKYCAuszahlung
Polymarket (über Wahl Wetten) Empfohlen
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0 % (USDC on-chain) Bis $1.500 ohne KYC USDC, automatisch via UMA Markt ansehen →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH USDC, on-chain Markt ansehen →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Bis 7 % pro Trade US-only, KYC erforderlich USD Markt ansehen →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5 % Kommission Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade GBP / EUR Markt ansehen →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Spielgeld (mana) Keine — Spielgeld Mana (kein Cash-Out) Markt ansehen →

Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.

ErgebnisWahrscheinlichkeit
Paul Reed: Points O/U 4.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 3.599%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 1.599%
Race to 2098%
1H O/U 96.598%
O/U 192.597%
1H O/U 98.597%
O/U 194.596%
O/U 196.596%
O/U 198.593%
O/U 200.593%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 5.590%
O/U 202.589%
1H O/U 100.589%
O/U 204.587%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 3.585%
1H O/U 102.585%
O/U 206.584%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.583%
1H O/U 104.583%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 19.582%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.582%
O/U 208.581%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.581%
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.580%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 14.580%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 7.580%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.579%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.577%
John Collins: Points O/U 9.577%
O/U 210.576%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.576%
1H O/U 108.576%
1H O/U 106.576%
O/U 212.573%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.573%
Landry Shamet: Assists O/U 1.573%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 1.570%
1H O/U 110.569%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.568%
O/U 214.567%
1H O/U 112.567%
1Q Spread -2.566%
1H Moneyline65%
John Collins: Points O/U 14.565%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 9.565%
1H Spread -0.564%
O/U 216.562%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.559%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 7.559%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.559%
Pistons O/U 101.559%
O/U 218.558%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.557%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.556%
Race to 3055%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 9.554%
O/U 220.553%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.553%
Pistons vs. Knicks52%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 9.551%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 9.551%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
John Collins: Assists O/U 1.551%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.551%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.551%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.551%
Josh Hart: Steals O/U 0.551%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 0.551%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 0.551%
1H O/U 114.551%
1Q O/U 56.551%
1Q O/U 44.551%
2Q Spread -2.551%
2Q O/U 55.551%
2Q O/U 51.551%
2Q O/U 53.551%
3Q Spread -1.551%
3Q Spread -6.551%
3Q O/U 59.551%
3Q O/U 55.551%
3Q O/U 51.551%
4Q Spread -2.551%
4Q Spread -4.551%
Knicks O/U 103.551%
Knicks O/U 105.551%
Pistons O/U 103.551%
Pistons 1H O/U 53.551%
Pistons 1H O/U 57.551%
Pistons O/U 117.551%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 0.551%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
Overtime?50%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 23.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.550%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.550%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 11.550%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.550%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 7.550%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.550%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.550%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.550%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.550%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 34.550%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 39.550%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 24.550%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 9.550%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.550%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.550%
John Collins: Points O/U 19.550%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 4.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 9.550%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 4.550%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 14.550%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 4.550%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.550%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.550%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.550%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 14.550%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 19.550%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.550%
John Collins: Points O/U 29.550%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 24.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 34.550%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 24.550%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 29.550%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.550%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 13.550%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 15.550%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 13.550%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 15.550%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.550%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.550%
John Collins: Assists O/U 3.550%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.550%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 9.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 1.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.550%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 1.550%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 5.550%
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 3.550%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 1.550%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 3.550%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 5.550%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.550%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 0.550%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 1.550%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 2.550%
Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.550%
Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.550%
Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.550%
John Collins: Steals O/U 0.550%
John Collins: Steals O/U 1.550%
John Collins: Steals O/U 2.550%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 44.550%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 44.550%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 24.550%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 13.550%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 13.550%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.550%
Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Josh Hart: Steals O/U 1.550%
Josh Hart: Steals O/U 2.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 0.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 1.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 2.550%
Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 0.550%
Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 1.550%
Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 2.550%
OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.550%
OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.550%
OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.550%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 1.550%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 2.550%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.550%
Josh Hart: Steals O/U 3.550%
OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.550%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.550%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 10.550%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 34.550%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.550%
1Q Spread -3.550%
1Q Spread -7.550%
1Q O/U 58.550%
1Q O/U 60.550%
1Q O/U 62.550%
1Q O/U 64.550%
1Q O/U 66.550%
1Q O/U 68.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
2Q O/U 59.550%
2Q O/U 57.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q O/U 53.550%
3Q O/U 57.550%
3Q O/U 47.550%
3Q O/U 49.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 49.550%
4Q O/U 51.550%
4Q O/U 53.550%
Knicks O/U 101.550%
Pistons O/U 99.550%
Knicks O/U 107.550%
Pistons O/U 105.550%
Knicks O/U 109.550%
Pistons O/U 107.550%
Knicks O/U 111.550%
Pistons O/U 109.550%
Knicks 1H O/U 61.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 59.550%
Pistons O/U 111.550%
Knicks O/U 115.550%
Pistons O/U 95.550%
Knicks O/U 99.550%
Pistons O/U 97.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 51.550%
Knicks 1H O/U 53.550%
Knicks 1H O/U 55.550%
Knicks 2H O/U 53.550%
Knicks 1H O/U 57.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 55.550%
Pistons O/U 113.550%
Knicks O/U 117.550%
Pistons O/U 115.550%
Knicks O/U 119.550%
Knicks O/U 121.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 49.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 51.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 53.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 55.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 57.550%
Knicks 2H O/U 51.550%
Knicks 2H O/U 55.550%
Knicks 2H O/U 57.550%
Knicks 2H O/U 59.550%
Landry Shamet: Points O/U 19.550%
Miles McBride: Points O/U 4.550%
Miles McBride: Points O/U 14.550%
Miles McBride: Assists O/U 1.550%
Miles McBride: Assists O/U 3.550%
Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Landry Shamet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Landry Shamet: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Miles McBride: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Miles McBride: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Miles McBride: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 4.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 4.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 9.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 14.550%
Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 4.550%
Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 9.550%
Kevin Huerter: Points O/U 14.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Kevin Huerter: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Kevin Huerter: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 1.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 3.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 5.550%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Kevin Huerter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Kevin Huerter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Kevin Huerter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 4.550%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 9.550%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 14.550%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 19.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 19.550%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.550%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.550%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.550%
Kevin Huerter: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 1.550%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.550%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 5.550%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 9.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.550%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Kevin Huerter: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 0.550%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 1.550%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 2.550%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 3.550%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Spread -31.549%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.549%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 1.549%
1H Spread -2.549%
Knicks 1H O/U 59.549%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 7.548%
1H O/U 116.548%
Spread -19.547%
O/U 222.547%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.547%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 11.547%
1Q Spread -4.547%
Knicks O/U 113.547%
Spread -2.546%
Spread -6.546%
Spread -1.546%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.546%
Miles McBride: Points O/U 9.546%
Spread -12.545%
Spread -25.545%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.545%
Spread -2.543%
O/U 224.543%
1H O/U 118.541%
Spread -10.540%
Spread -3.540%
Spread -4.539%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.539%
O/U 226.538%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.538%
1H Spread -4.538%
Spread -4.537%
1H Spread -1.537%
2Q Spread -1.537%
Spread -27.536%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.535%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.535%
4Q Spread -1.534%
O/U 228.533%
Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.533%
1H Spread -6.533%
Spread -5.532%
Spread -6.531%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.531%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.530%
1H Spread -8.530%
1H O/U 120.530%
O/U 230.528%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.528%
1H Spread -3.528%
Spread -14.527%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.527%
Spread -18.526%
Spread -7.526%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.526%
Spread -8.525%
O/U 232.524%
1H O/U 122.524%
Spread -13.523%
Spread -8.523%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.523%
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.523%
O/U 234.521%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.521%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 9.521%
1H Spread -5.521%
Spread -9.520%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.519%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.519%
1H Spread -10.519%
1H O/U 124.519%
1H O/U 126.519%
1Q Spread -1.519%
Landry Shamet: Assists O/U 3.519%
Spread -10.518%
Spread -11.518%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 5.518%
O/U 236.517%
Spread -17.516%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 14.516%
O/U 238.515%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 3.515%
Spread -16.514%
Spread -15.514%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 7.514%
1H Spread -12.514%
1H O/U 128.514%
Landry Shamet: Rebounds O/U 3.514%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 14.513%
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 11.513%
O/U 240.512%
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 5.512%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 11.512%
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 5.511%
1H Spread -7.511%
Spread -22.510%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 7.510%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 5.510%
1H Spread -14.510%
Spread -21.59%
1H Spread -9.59%
Landry Shamet: Rebounds O/U 5.59%
Spread -20.58%
John Collins: Points O/U 24.58%
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.58%
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.57%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 19.56%
Josh Hart: Points O/U 19.56%
1H Spread -16.56%
1H Spread -11.55%
1H Spread -13.54%
1H Spread -19.54%
Spread -23.53%
1H Spread -15.53%
1Q Spread -5.53%
Race to 102%
Spread -29.52%
Spread -33.52%
1H Spread -17.52%

Markt-Kontext

Pistons vs. Knicks. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 40% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-28T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live-Daten & Statistiken

Der Polymarket-Orderbuch-Preis bewertet Paul Reed: Points O/U 4.5 mit 100% bei "Prognose: Pistons vs. Knicks".

Paul Reed: Points O/U 4.5 100% Andere 0%

Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $2.1M.

Methodik dieser Bewertung

Politische Prognose-Märkte unterscheiden sich strukturell von Sportwetten: weniger Liquidität, längere Settlement-Zeiträume, höhere Sensitivität auf einzelne News-Events. Diese Seite zeigt die Live-Polymarket-Quote für Prognose: Pistons vs. Knicks plus Plattform-Attribute der drei Vergleichs-Anbieter, damit Sie auf einen Blick sehen, wo die liquidesten Märkte für die Frage liegen.

Auflösung & Auszahlung

Bei politischen Märkten ist die Resolution-Quelle entscheidend. Polymarket definiert pro Vertrag eine konkrete Quelle (z.B. AP, Reuters, offizielle Wahlbehörde) und nutzt das UMA Optimistic Oracle als On-Chain-Disputmechanismus. Bei klar definiertem Outcome erfolgt die USDC-Auszahlung binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung.

Häufige Fragen

Welche Resolution-Quelle wird für Wahlen genutzt?
Polymarket definiert die Quelle pro Vertrag — meist Associated Press (AP Race Call), Reuters oder die offizielle Wahlbehörde. Die Quelle steht in den Vertrags-Details, bevor der Markt eröffnet.
Was ist die liquideste politische Plattform?
Polymarket — mit Abstand. Das US-Präsidentschafts-Volumen 2024 lag bei ~$3,5 Mrd vs Kalshi (~$200 M) und Betfair (~$120 M). Da Polymarket in vielen Jurisdiktionen geo-blockiert ist, nutzen Trader Broker wie Wahl Wetten um auf dasselbe Orderbuch zuzugreifen — ohne zusätzliche Gebühren.
Wie schnell reagieren Polit-Märkte auf News?
Hochliquide Märkte bewegen sich binnen Sekunden bis Minuten. Ein Trump-Tweet über die Wirtschaft kann den 'Trump 2024'-Markt 2-5 Punkte verschieben, bevor Mainstream-Medien überhaupt geschrieben haben.
Sind politische Vorhersagemärkte in DE legal?
Sie befinden sich in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert; einige Broker-Frontends haben einen anderen Geo-Footprint. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können — und nur, wenn Sie die rechtliche Lage in Ihrer Jurisdiktion verstehen.
Welche politischen Events haben das größte Volumen?
US-Präsidentschaftswahl, Parteinominierungen (DNC/RNC), Senate-Mehrheiten, einzelne State-Outcomes (Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin), und Bundestagswahl/EU-Wahl. Spitzenwerte liegen bei $50-500 Mio per Event.
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